Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryAntonio
55K ←33
3.70ERA →3.63
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–5W →5–10
1–6SV3–6
Current Season
AndrewCategoryAntonio
17K →26
4.02ERA →1.30
1.28WHIP →0.89
1W →5
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Alvarez
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.76)
Antonio Senzatela
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.17 is 1.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Alvarez: 55 K / 3.70 ERA. Antonio Senzatela: 33 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).