Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryJT
34K →35
3.70ERA ←3.81
1.24WHIP ←1.27
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryJT
12K →22
7.59ERA →2.70
1.69WHIP →1.30
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Kittredge
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.15 sits 0.95 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
JT Brubaker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.87 is 1.69 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Kittredge: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. JT Brubaker: 35 K / 3.81 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

