Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryJordan
32K →34
3.69ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →2–5
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryJordan
20K ←18
4.18ERA ←6.27
1.52WHIP →1.23
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Morris
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 sits 0.62 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.383 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jordan Leasure
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.196 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.32 is 1.05 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Morris: 32 K / 3.69 ERA. Jordan Leasure: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).