Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryVinnie
8HR →11
34R ←30
34RBI →37
0SB →3
.298AVG ←.236
Current Season
AndrewCategoryVinnie
1HR →5
10R →21
10RBI →26
0SB →2
.354AVG ←.213
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.364 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.332 is 0.043 below the surface — regression coming
Vinnie Pasquantino
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.315)
Andrew Vaughn: 8 HR / 34 R. Vinnie Pasquantino: 11 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).