Rest of Season Projection
AndyCategoryBrandon
15HR ←10
56R ←49
78RBI ←40
11SB ←7
.269AVG →.302
Current Season
AndyCategoryBrandon
13HR ←5
36R ←29
50RBI ←24
7SB ←4
.293AVG →.317
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andy Pages
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.407 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
Andy Pages: 15 HR / 56 R. Brandon Marsh: 10 HR / 49 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).