MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Austin Warren
Austin Warren
NYM · P
Change to
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Austin Warren wins 0 (none); Burch Smith wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Austin Warren
93.9
Burch Smith
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
10.6%
Burch Smith
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
26.5%
Burch Smith
27.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Austin Warren
25.6%
Burch Smith
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
40.0%
Burch Smith
47.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
12.2%
Burch Smith
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Austin Warren
.333
Burch Smith
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Austin Warren
24.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.33
3.70
Burch Smith
24.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Austin Warren
.9901.61
now 1.13
1.24
Burch Smith
.9901.61
now 1.47
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Austin Warren
4028.80
now 22
5
Burch Smith
4028.80
now 20
5
Winshigher is better
Austin Warren
.0001.48
now 1
00
Burch Smith
.0001.48
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAustin Warren — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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