Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryJonathan
36K ←29
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–3
0SV0
Current Season
AustinCategoryJonathan
22K ←16
1.33ERA ←4.67
1.13WHIP ←1.15
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Warren
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.32 is 1.62 above the ERA — regression coming
Jonathan Bowlan
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.53 sits 1.57 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.316 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Austin Warren: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Jonathan Bowlan: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).