MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Austin Warren
Austin Warren
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Austin Warren wins 0 (none); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Austin Warren
93.9
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
10.7%
Louis Varland
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
23.6%
Louis Varland
35.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Austin Warren
26.8%
Louis Varland
36.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
42.4%
Louis Varland
34.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
13.1%
Louis Varland
2.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Austin Warren
.350
Louis Varland
.217
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Austin Warren
25.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.33
3.70
Louis Varland
25.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
1.96
WHIPlower is better
Austin Warren
.9501.32
now 1.13
1.24
Louis Varland
.9501.32
now 1.03
1.08

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Austin Warren
4050.80
now 22
20
Louis Varland
4050.80
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
Austin Warren
.5202.48
now 1
11
Louis Varland
.5202.48
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Austin Warren
.00011.20
now 0
0
Louis Varland
.00011.20
now 8
47
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAustin Warren — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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