Who's more valuable, rest of season
Lucas Giolito.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Bailey Ober’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a
Lucas Giolito wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Bailey Ober wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.0
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
17.1%
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
28.6%
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
36.2%
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.327
Lucas Giolito
.358
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
3.755.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.39
Lucas Giolito
3.755.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
1.011.95
now 1.22
1.31
Lucas Giolito
1.011.95
now 1.74
1.30
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4062
now 46
9
Lucas Giolito
4062
now 6
7
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.0008
now 6
1–2
Lucas Giolito
.0008
now 2
1–2
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellBailey Ober — sell.conf 0.68
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50