Rest of Season Projection
BaileyCategoryPeter
76K ←72
4.21ERA →3.82
1.31WHIP ←1.37
6–12W5–11
0SV0
Current Season
BaileyCategoryPeter
46K ←43
4.59ERA →3.77
1.22WHIP →1.21
6W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bailey Ober
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.27)
Peter Lambert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.82 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Bailey Ober: 76 K / 4.21 ERA. Peter Lambert: 72 K / 3.82 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).