Rest of Season Projection
BaileyCategoryCasey
76K76
4.21ERA →3.74
1.31WHIP →1.27
6–12W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
BaileyCategoryCasey
46K →49
4.59ERA →2.27
1.22WHIP →0.97
6W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bailey Ober
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.27)
Casey Mize
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.66 is 0.39 above the ERA — regression coming
Bailey Ober: 76 K / 4.21 ERA. Casey Mize: 76 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).