Rest of Season Projection
AndreCategoryCasey
70K →79
3.78ERA →3.73
1.35WHIP →1.27
5–11W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
AndreCategoryCasey
46K →49
4.19ERA →2.27
1.34WHIP →0.97
5W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andre Pallante
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.78, 0.32 below league — production is earned
Casey Mize
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.64 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Andre Pallante: 70 K / 1.35 WHIP vs Casey Mize: 79 K / 1.27 WHIP. Mize edges both categories but the buy vs sell-high verdicts tell the real story.