Rest of Season Projection
CaseyCategoryJosé
79K →106
3.73ERA ←4.16
1.27WHIP ←1.37
2–5W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
CaseyCategoryJosé
49K →85
2.27ERA ←2.72
0.97WHIP ←1.21
2W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Casey Mize
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.64 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
José Soriano
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.19 is 1.23 above the ERA — regression coming
Casey Mize: 79 K / 3.73 ERA. José Soriano: 106 K / 4.16 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).