MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Connelly Early.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Bailey Ober wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.2
Connelly Early
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.7%
Connelly Early
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
17.2%
Connelly Early
23.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
28.8%
Connelly Early
31.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
32.6%
Connelly Early
40.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Connelly Early
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.325
Connelly Early
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
2.295.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.33
Connelly Early
2.295.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.23
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
1.091.38
now 1.22
1.31
Connelly Early
1.091.38
now 1.16
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4066.60
now 46
33
Connelly Early
4066.60
now 57
40
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.4007.60
now 6
35
Connelly Early
.4007.60
now 5
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBailey Ober — sell.conf 0.66
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
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