MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Cavalli.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Connelly Early’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cade Cavalli wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Connelly Early wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Cavalli
96.7
Connelly Early
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Cavalli
12.0%
Connelly Early
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Cavalli
26.2%
Connelly Early
23.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Cavalli
30.9%
Connelly Early
31.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Cavalli
40.5%
Connelly Early
40.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Cavalli
6.9%
Connelly Early
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Cavalli
.314
Connelly Early
.321
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Cavalli
2.434.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.62
4.13
Connelly Early
2.434.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.26
WHIPlower is better
Cade Cavalli
1.061.52
now 1.42
1.29
Connelly Early
1.061.52
now 1.16
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Cavalli
43.2082.80
now 74
59
Connelly Early
43.2082.80
now 57
52
Winshigher is better
Cade Cavalli
.4007.60
now 3
23
Connelly Early
.4007.60
now 5
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyCade Cavalli — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
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