Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryConnelly
122K ←105
3.95ERA ←4.44
1.33WHIP →1.30
3–7W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
CadeCategoryConnelly
74K ←57
3.62ERA →2.95
1.42WHIP →1.16
3W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Cavalli
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.95)
Connelly Early
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.62 is 1.36 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Cavalli: 122 K / 3.95 ERA. Connelly Early: 105 K / 4.44 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).