MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 23, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
BOS · P
Change to
Logan Webb
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 2 (K, W); Logan Webb wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
93.9
Logan Webb
92.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
10.7%
Logan Webb
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
22.5%
Logan Webb
20.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
30.9%
Logan Webb
33.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
41.4%
Logan Webb
43.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.8%
Logan Webb
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.326
Logan Webb
.297
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
2.205.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.30
Logan Webb
2.205.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
3.60
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
1.071.48
now 1.16
1.32
Logan Webb
1.071.48
now 1.39
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4094.60
now 57
81
Logan Webb
4094.60
now 47
74
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.00011.80
now 5
49
Logan Webb
.00011.80
now 2
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighConnelly Early — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · leans buyLogan Webb — hold.conf 0.60
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