MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kevin Gausman.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kevin Gausman wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Connelly Early wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Kevin Gausman
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.1%
Kevin Gausman
13.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.8%
Kevin Gausman
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.4%
Kevin Gausman
34.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
40.9%
Kevin Gausman
40.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
Kevin Gausman
8.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.321
Kevin Gausman
.305
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
2.434.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.26
Kevin Gausman
2.434.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.13
3.88
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
11.40
now 1.16
1.31
Kevin Gausman
11.40
now 1.09
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
47.4071.60
now 57
53
Kevin Gausman
47.4071.60
now 66
54
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.4007.60
now 5
36
Kevin Gausman
.4007.60
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans buyKevin Gausman — hold.conf 0.60
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