Who's more valuable, rest of season
Zebby Matthews.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Bailey Ober’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Zebby Matthews wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Bailey Ober wins 1 (W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.5
Zebby Matthews
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.6%
Zebby Matthews
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
16.4%
Zebby Matthews
19.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
30.1%
Zebby Matthews
27.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
32.7%
Zebby Matthews
37.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Zebby Matthews
11.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.323
Zebby Matthews
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
3.864.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.24
Zebby Matthews
3.864.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.63
4.08
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
.9201.42
now 1.22
1.31
Zebby Matthews
.9201.42
now 1.03
1.26
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
40103.80
now 46
67
Zebby Matthews
40103.80
now 24
81
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.00013.60
now 6
5–10
Zebby Matthews
.00013.60
now 1
2–4
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellBailey Ober — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyZebby Matthews — hold.conf 0.60

