MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 24, 2026
Portrait of Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Zebby Matthews.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Gerrit Cole’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Zebby Matthews wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Gerrit Cole wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
96.6
Zebby Matthews
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
8.8%
Zebby Matthews
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
21.3%
Zebby Matthews
19.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
28.5%
Zebby Matthews
27.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gerrit Cole
35.2%
Zebby Matthews
37.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gerrit Cole
6.3%
Zebby Matthews
11.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gerrit Cole
.281
Zebby Matthews
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gerrit Cole
26.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
4.10
Zebby Matthews
26.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.63
4.08
WHIPlower is better
Gerrit Cole
.9001.54
now 0.71
1.30
Zebby Matthews
.9001.54
now 1.03
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gerrit Cole
40108.60
now 12
76
Zebby Matthews
40108.60
now 24
81
Winshigher is better
Gerrit Cole
.0009.40
now 1
37
Zebby Matthews
.0009.40
now 1
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGerrit Cole — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · steadyZebby Matthews — hold.conf 0.60
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