Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryJorge
20HR ←14
70R ←42
70RBI ←51
3SB ←0
.270AVG ←.213
Current Season
BenCategoryJorge
17HR ←9
44R ←27
44RBI ←33
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.221
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Jorge Soler
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Jorge Soler: 14 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).