Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryKyle
20HR ←11
70R ←36
70RBI ←31
3SB ←0
.270AVG ←.219
Current Season
BenCategoryKyle
17HR ←5
44R ←20
44RBI ←17
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.220
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Kyle Manzardo
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.314)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Kyle Manzardo: 11 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).