Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryLuis
20HR ←10
70R ←37
70RBI ←52
3SB3
.270AVG →.283
Current Season
BenCategoryLuis
17HR ←5
44R ←21
44RBI ←30
2SB2
.306AVG ←.264
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Luis García Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.324)
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Luis García Jr.: 10 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).