Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryMarcell
20HR ←13
70R ←25
70RBI ←37
3SB ←0
.270AVG ←.219
Current Season
BenCategoryMarcell
17HR ←5
44R ←14
44RBI ←21
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.186
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Marcell Ozuna
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.243 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Marcell Ozuna: 13 HR / 25 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).