Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryPaul
20HR ←12
70R ←45
70RBI ←45
3SB ←0
.270AVG.271
Current Season
BenCategoryPaul
17HR ←6
44R ←19
44RBI ←19
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.261
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Paul Goldschmidt
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.386)
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Paul Goldschmidt: 12 HR / 45 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).