Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryTy
20HR ←9
70R ←30
70RBI ←45
3SB ←2
.270AVG ←.244
Current Season
BenCategoryTy
17HR ←6
44R ←12
44RBI ←18
2SB ←1
.306AVG ←.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Ty France
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Ty France: 9 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).