Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryVinnie
20HR ←11
70R ←32
70RBI ←40
3SB3
.270AVG ←.231
Current Season
BenCategoryVinnie
17HR ←5
44R ←21
44RBI ←26
2SB2
.306AVG ←.213
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Vinnie Pasquantino
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.309)
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Vinnie Pasquantino: 11 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).