Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryLuis
3HR ←1
41R →44
37RBI ←35
11SB ←8
.257AVG →.296
Current Season
BenCategoryLuis
0HR →2
19R →29
17RBI →23
5SB5
.273AVG →.321
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Williamson
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.304)
Luis Arraez
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.310 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Ben Williamson: 3 HR / 41 R. Luis Arraez: 1 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).