Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryDylan
2HR →7
23R ←21
30RBI ←16
13SB ←5
.234AVG →.264
Current Season
BrandonCategoryDylan
0HR →1
9R ←4
12RBI ←3
5SB ←1
.294AVG ←.220
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Lockridge
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.417 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.048 below the surface — regression coming
Dylan Crews
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.196 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Brandon Lockridge: 2 HR / 23 R. Dylan Crews: 7 HR / 21 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).