Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryJames
2HR →18
23R →65
31RBI →48
13SB ←12
.235AVG →.256
Current Season
BrandonCategoryJames
0HR →16
9R →53
12RBI →39
5SB →10
.294AVG ←.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Lockridge
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.417 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.048 below the surface — regression coming
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.431, +0.116 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.358 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Brandon Lockridge: 2 HR / 23 R. James Wood: 18 HR / 66 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).