Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryJJ
10HR10
47R ←43
39RBI →61
6SB ←2
.304AVG ←.246
Current Season
BrandonCategoryJJ
5HR →10
29R ←19
24RBI →27
4SB ←1
.317AVG ←.301
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.411 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.337 is 0.031 below the surface — regression coming
JJ Bleday
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.399)
Brandon Marsh: 10 HR / 47 R. JJ Bleday: 10 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).