Rest of Season Projection
BraydonCategoryJason
49K ←32
3.68ERA ←3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
2–4W →2–5
1–3SV →1–3
Current Season
BraydonCategoryJason
33K ←11
2.48ERA →0.90
0.95WHIP ←1.00
2W2
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Braydon Fisher
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.228 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.50 is 0.95 above the ERA — regression coming
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.261 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.45 is 1.81 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Braydon Fisher: 49 K / 3.68 ERA. Jason Adam: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).