Rest of Season Projection
BrentonCategoryLawrence
6HR →8
43R ←29
8RBI →24
19SB ←7
.200AVG →.230
Current Season
BrentonCategoryLawrence
1HR →3
21R ←17
4RBI →14
9SB ←4
.207AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brenton Doyle
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.248)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.205 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Brenton Doyle: 6 HR / 44 R. Lawrence Butler: 8 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).