Rest of Season Projection
BrettCategoryZack
10HR10
37R →42
39RBI ←38
3SB →12
.233AVG ←.230
Current Season
BrettCategoryZack
3HR →6
22R ←21
23RBI ←19
2SB →6
.233AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brett Baty
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.297 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Zack Gelof
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.300)
Brett Baty: 10 HR / 37 R. Zack Gelof: 10 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).