Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryFoster
90K →101
3.05ERA ←4.31
1.28WHIP →1.25
4–9W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryFoster
61K →65
2.50ERA ←3.76
1.08WHIP ←1.15
4W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.05 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Foster Griffin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.42 is 0.66 above the ERA — regression coming
Bryce Elder: 90 K / 3.05 ERA. Foster Griffin: 101 K / 4.31 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).