MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Garrett Whitlock
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Garrett Whitlock wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Garrett Whitlock
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Garrett Whitlock
18.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Garrett Whitlock
29.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Garrett Whitlock
42.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Garrett Whitlock
33.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Garrett Whitlock
3.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Garrett Whitlock
.251
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.793.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Garrett Whitlock
2.793.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.05
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
.9701.61
now 1.47
1.24
Garrett Whitlock
.9701.61
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4036.40
now 20
0
Garrett Whitlock
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0004.20
now 0
0–0
Garrett Whitlock
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeGarrett Whitlock — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet