MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Shawn Armstrong
Shawn Armstrong
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Shawn Armstrong wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Shawn Armstrong
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Shawn Armstrong
11.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Shawn Armstrong
22.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Shawn Armstrong
24.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Shawn Armstrong
34.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Shawn Armstrong
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Shawn Armstrong
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.963.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Shawn Armstrong
2.963.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24
Shawn Armstrong
1.151.56
now 1.33
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4026
now 20
5
Shawn Armstrong
4026
now 19
5
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0001.48
now 0
00
Shawn Armstrong
.0001.48
now 1
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeShawn Armstrong — hold.conf 0.50
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