MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Jhoan Duran
Jhoan Duran
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jhoan Duran.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Jhoan Duran wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Burch Smith wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Jhoan Duran
100.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Jhoan Duran
18.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Jhoan Duran
35.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Jhoan Duran
34.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Jhoan Duran
39.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Jhoan Duran
3.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Jhoan Duran
.222
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
24.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Jhoan Duran
24.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.53
2.06
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
.9001.67
now 1.47
1.24
Jhoan Duran
.9001.67
now 0.96
0.99

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4036.40
now 20
0
Jhoan Duran
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0001.48
now 0
0–0
Jhoan Duran
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
BuyJhoan Duran — buy.conf 0.92
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