MLB Daily DeltaWeek 28 · October 3, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Jason Adam
Jason Adam
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Jason Adam wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Jason Adam
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Jason Adam
14.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Jason Adam
15.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Jason Adam
34.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Jason Adam
37.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Jason Adam
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Jason Adam
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
24.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Jason Adam
24.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.90
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
.9001.66
now 1.47
1.24
Jason Adam
.9001.66
now 1.00
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4028
now 20
0
Jason Adam
4028
now 11
0
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Jason Adam
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighJason Adam — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Tweet