MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Kyle Finnegan
Kyle Finnegan
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Burch Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Kyle Finnegan’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Burch Smith wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Kyle Finnegan wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Kyle Finnegan
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Kyle Finnegan
11.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Kyle Finnegan
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Kyle Finnegan
27.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Kyle Finnegan
42.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Kyle Finnegan
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Kyle Finnegan
.319
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
24.46
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Kyle Finnegan
24.46
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.93
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.121.66
now 1.47
1.24
Kyle Finnegan
1.121.66
now 1.54
1.27

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4029.60
now 20
24
Kyle Finnegan
4029.60
now 16
17
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0001.48
now 0
00
Kyle Finnegan
.0001.48
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0002.40
now 0
0
Kyle Finnegan
.0002.40
now 1
11
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeKyle Finnegan — hold.conf 0.50
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