MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Mitchell Parker
Mitchell Parker
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Burch Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Mitchell Parker’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Mitchell Parker wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Mitchell Parker
93.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Mitchell Parker
14.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Mitchell Parker
19.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Mitchell Parker
32.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Mitchell Parker
41.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Mitchell Parker
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Mitchell Parker
.347
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.346.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Mitchell Parker
2.346.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.82
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.051.59
now 1.47
1.24
Mitchell Parker
1.051.59
now 1.17
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4034.40
now 20
5
Mitchell Parker
4034.40
now 26
6
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0002.80
now 0
00
Mitchell Parker
.0002.80
now 2
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeMitchell Parker — hold.conf 0.55
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