Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryGrant
60K →91
4.10ERA ←4.43
1.30WHIP ←1.37
2–5W →3–7
0SV0
Current Season
CadeCategoryGrant
12K →53
5.12ERA →3.95
1.34WHIP →1.33
1W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Povich
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.20)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Grant Holmes
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.61 is 0.56 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Povich: 60 K / 4.10 ERA. Grant Holmes: 91 K / 4.43 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).