MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 30, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Chris Murphy wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.8
Chris Murphy
95.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.6%
Chris Murphy
16.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
35.6%
Chris Murphy
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
31.8%
Chris Murphy
26.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
48.9%
Chris Murphy
37.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.9%
Chris Murphy
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.291
Chris Murphy
.307
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9002.55
now 1.08
1.23
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4060.60
now 42
45
Chris Murphy
4060.60
now 6
18
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0006.60
now 2
13
Chris Murphy
.0006.60
now 1
25
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00038.80
now 20
1528
Chris Murphy
.00038.80
now 1
16
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowChris Murphy — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.82
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