Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryClayton
65K ←38
3.61ERA ←3.70
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–4W ←1–3
22–41SV ←6–12
Current Season
CadeCategoryClayton
42K ←15
2.60ERA →2.30
1.08WHIP ←1.21
2W ←1
20SV ←4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.40)
Clayton Beeter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.200 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.88 is 0.70 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 65 K / 3.61 ERA. Clayton Beeter: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).