MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 6, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Elvis Alvarado wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
97.1
Elvis Alvarado
98.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
16.6%
Elvis Alvarado
16.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.0%
Elvis Alvarado
29.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
31.5%
Elvis Alvarado
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
44.5%
Elvis Alvarado
48.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
9.9%
Elvis Alvarado
18.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.283
Elvis Alvarado
.341
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.31
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9002.17
now 1.08
1.13
Elvis Alvarado
.9002.17
now 1.86
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4055.20
now 42
25
Elvis Alvarado
4055.20
now 9
11
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0005.20
now 2
12
Elvis Alvarado
.0005.20
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00028
now 20
815
Elvis Alvarado
.00028
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCade Smith — buy.conf 0.84
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
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