Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryErik
53K →55
3.60ERA ←3.69
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–4W2–5
19–35SV ←0
Current Season
CadeCategoryErik
42K ←39
2.60ERA →1.71
1.08WHIP →0.95
2W2
20SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.33)
Erik Sabrowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.200 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.46 is 0.75 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 55 K / 3.60 ERA. Erik Sabrowski: 56 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).