Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryEthan
53K ←28
3.60ERA ←3.70
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–4W ←0–0
19–35SV ←0
Current Season
CadeCategoryEthan
42K ←12
2.60ERA →1.69
1.08WHIP →1.00
2W ←0
20SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.33)
Ethan Roberts
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.19 is 2.33 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 56 K / 3.60 ERA. Ethan Roberts: 27 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).