MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Gus Varland
Gus Varland
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Gus Varland wins 0 (none); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
97.0
Gus Varland
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.1%
Gus Varland
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.7%
Gus Varland
20.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.7%
Gus Varland
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
44.6%
Gus Varland
50.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
9.6%
Gus Varland
15.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.279
Gus Varland
.387
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
24.69
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.67
Gus Varland
24.69
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.09
3.76
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9001.74
now 1.08
1.23
Gus Varland
.9001.74
now 1.55
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4052.40
now 42
29
Gus Varland
4052.40
now 20
16
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.5202.48
now 2
12
Gus Varland
.5202.48
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00027.20
now 20
917
Gus Varland
.00027.20
now 4
24
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeGus Varland — hold.conf 0.50
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