Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryVictor
53K ←33
3.60ERA ←3.70
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–4W ←1–3
19–35SV ←5–9
Current Season
CadeCategoryVictor
42K ←16
2.60ERA ←8.00
1.08WHIP ←2.11
2W ←1
20SV ←4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.33)
Victor Vodnik
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.397 elevated and unstable — the 8.00 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.49 is +0.39 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Cade Smith: 55 K / 3.60 ERA. Victor Vodnik: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).