MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Jack Dreyer
LAD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Jack Dreyer wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Jack Dreyer
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.0%
Jack Dreyer
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
19.8%
Jack Dreyer
28.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
30.1%
Jack Dreyer
31.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
32.9%
Jack Dreyer
40.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
4.1%
Jack Dreyer
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.297
Jack Dreyer
.288
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Jack Dreyer
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.78
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.50
now 0.60
1.24
Jack Dreyer
.9001.50
now 1.01
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4032.60
now 6
25
Jack Dreyer
4032.60
now 24
16
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0002.80
now 0
00
Jack Dreyer
.0002.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCaleb Ferguson — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.76
Sell HighJack Dreyer — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.69
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