MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Luke Weaver
Luke Weaver
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Luke Weaver.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Luke Weaver wins 2 categories (ERA, W); Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Luke Weaver
95.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.2%
Luke Weaver
15.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
20.4%
Luke Weaver
26.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.7%
Luke Weaver
34.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
32.9%
Luke Weaver
33.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
4.3%
Luke Weaver
8.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.293
Luke Weaver
.265
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Luke Weaver
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.77
3.66
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.50
now 0.60
1.24
Luke Weaver
.9001.50
now 1.04
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4032.60
now 6
25
Luke Weaver
4032.60
now 25
16
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0002.80
now 0
00
Luke Weaver
.0002.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighLuke Weaver — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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